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NBA Finals: Game 1 of Thunder-Pacers set to happen in Oklahoma City

OKLAHOMA CITY (AP) - Winning Game 1 of the NBA Finals does not guarantee anything.

June 6, 2025
By TIM REYNOLDS
6 June 2025

OKLAHOMA CITY (AP) - Winning Game 1 of the NBA Finals does not guarantee anything.

The 79th title series in league history - it has been called different names over the years - starts Thursday night, when the Oklahoma City Thunder play host to the Indiana Pacers.

And the winner of Game 1 will obviously leave the floor feeling good about themselves. But in the past 78 years, only 55 Game 1 winners have gone on to eventually win the title - or just about 71%.

If the winner is the Thunder, it’s a really good sign. Teams that win Game 1 at home have ultimately prevailed 78% of the time (47 out of 60). If the Pacers win, their odds of winning the title improve dramatically but they probably still wouldn’t be called favorites. Teams that win Game 1 on the road only end up winning the series 44% of the time (8 out of 18).

But it should be noted as well that the last time the Thunder were in the NBA Finals, they had the home-court advantage over the Miami Heat. Oklahoma City won Game 1 of that series at home - then lost the next four games, and LeBron James won the first of four NBA championships for the league’s all-time scoring king.