"The survey provides a reassuring sign that economic growth persisted in October despite the government shutdown," Bill Adams, chief economist for Comerica Bank, wrote in a note to investors.
A weaker job market remains a big concern for the Fed. The central bank cut its benchmark rate for the second time this year at its most recent meeting, in part to help bolster the economy amid a weakening job market. Lower interest rates can make a wide range of loans and credit less expensive, potentially promoting economic growth. But, lower rates can also add fuel to inflation, which could stunt economic growth.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell and several other Fed officials have expressed concerns about more rate cuts, as inflation remains stubbornly above the central bank’s target of 2%. Consumer prices rose 3% in September.
The mix of a weaker job market and hot inflation leaves the Fed in a tough position.
"For Fed watchers, this ADP report should make it clear that a December rate cut is now in play," said Jamie Cox, managing partner for Harris Financial Group, in a note to investors. "We are nearing stall speed in the labor market, and that will get the Fed's attention."