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Rishi Sunak remains favourite for UK leader, as fight for second intensifies

The former Chancellor is leading the race to be UK’s next prime minister, while Penny Mordaunt remains ahead of Liz Truss in second place.

July 19, 2022
19 July 2022

Rishi Sunak’s place in the final two of the Tory leadership race looked increasingly secure on Monday, with Penny Mordaunt still clinging on to second place as the contest intensifies.

On one of the hottest days in British history, the race to replace Boris Johnson heated up as Mordaunt fended off a challenge by Liz Truss, receiving 82 votes to the Foreign Secretary’s 71 in the third ballot of Tory MPs.

All eyes will already turn to the next ballot on Tuesday, with Kemi Badenoch now the candidate with the lowest share of the vote after backbencher Tom Tugendhat was eliminated.

Sunak, who got 115 votes, edged closer to 120 votes required to guarantee a place in the final two, who will face a vote of the Tory membership to decide the next party leader and prime minister.

It remains unclear which of the three remaining candidates will join Sunak in the final two, even after a difficult few days for Mordaunt which saw her attacked by all sides with allegations over her ministerial record and questions about her previous statements on trans rights.

Both Truss and Mordaunt have also had their economic proposals blasted by the former chancellor Sunak in recent days, who lashed out at the rival candidates’ tax plans during a debate on ITV on Sunday night.

In a sign of the concern about the way the leadership race is being conducted, Sunak and Truss confirmed they did not want to take part in a Sky News debate planned for Tuesday, prompting the broadcaster to cancel the show.

(PA Graphics)

“Conservative MPs are said to be concerned about the damage the debates are doing to the image of the Conservative Party, exposing disagreements and splits within the party,” a Sky statement said.

Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer said he is “astonished” by candidates withdrawing from the debate, arguing that it demonstrates a lack of “confidence”.

He told reporters at a central London bank: “I can see, based on what I’ve seen in the debates so far, why they want to do so because this is a party that is out of ideas, out of purpose, they’re tearing each other apart.”

The race has become focused on pledges, or non-pledges, to cut taxes, at a time when Britain’s economy is beset with spiralling inflation, high debt and low growth that have left people with the tightest squeeze on their finances in decades.

Truss has also come under fire for saying she would change the Bank of England’s mandate.

The leadership contenders — Sunak, Truss, Mordaunt and Badenoch — have already taken part in debates on Channel 4 and ITV which have seen the would-be prime ministers taking primetime pot shots at each other.

Badenoch, who saw her vote jump from 49 to 58 in the latest round, said she had the “momentum” behind her.

She tweeted on Monday evening: “Continued momentum, closing the gap, I am the only change candidate left in the race. I’m in it to win.”

If she is eliminated next, the votes of Badenoch backers could determine who faces Sunak in the vote of Tory members.

An MP supporting Truss insisted the Foreign Secretary was “heading in the right direction”.

Asked about the increase in support for Badenoch, they said: “Liz is absolutely heading in the direction… she’s ahead and she’s heading in the right direction, so that’s good.”

Attorney General and right-winger Suella Braverman, who was knocked out of the contest last week, had thrown her weight behind Truss.

That endorsement, however, appears to have not been enough to push the Foreign Secretary into second place.

Mordaunt will continue into Tuesday knowing that her place behind Sunak remains vulnerable.

After the ballot, she tweeted: “My vote is steady and I’m grateful to my colleagues for all their support and thrilled to be in second place once more.

“MPs know that I’m a strong candidate, running a truly clean campaign and putting forward a positive vision for the party and our country.”

On Monday, Ms Mordaunt faced accusations that she missed ministerial meetings because she was plotting her Tory leadership bid.

The trade minister’s absence from meetings forced colleagues to pick up the pieces, International Trade Secretary Anne-Marie Trevelyan earlier alleged.

Asked about Mordaunt’s grasp of details, Trevelyan said: “We all do our jobs in different ways.

“Understandably, perhaps, now it’s clear, Penny has for the last few months spent some of her time focused on preparing her leadership campaign, for which I have utmost respect, that’s how this system works.”

Trevelyan added: “There have been a number of times when she hasn’t been available, which would have been useful, and other ministers have picked up the pieces.”

But former minister Harriet Baldwin, an ally of Mordaunt, said: “Having worked with Penny Mordaunt for a number of years, I can confirm this is not true.

“She is one of the most hard-working ministers and constituency MPs I know. I look forward to Penny continuing to put forward her positive vision for Britain.”

The exit of Tugendhat from the contest was not unexpected, with the Tonbridge and Malling MP trailing behind rivals in the bid for Tory MP backers.

He had addressed his likely fate head-on earlier, dismissing any suggestion that he would drop out.

The PA News agency understands that at the behind-closed-doors hustings organised by the backbench 1922 Committee, he told MPs that it had been suggested to him that he should step aside and back another candidate.

He said: “It will come as no surprise that some have suggested I could leave with a job as well. But my view is clear. It is not for me to make that decision — it is for you.”

Tweeting after the contest, he said: “Although it wasn’t to be today, I am immensely proud of the positive vision we put forward for our country.

“Thank you to all those who supported me and believed in #ACleanStart.

“This is only the beginning!”

Cabinet minister Kit Malthouse said he expects the Tories to pull together in a “spirit of harmony and love” after the leadership battle.

“All political parties are standing coalitions and the Conservative Party is the same,” he told Sky News.

“A vigorous exchange of ideas, in what is a challenging time for the country, should be expected when you are talking about such important issues and the leadership of a G7 nation.

“If it was just a polite agreement and consensus across the board, there wouldn’t be much point in having a competition at all.”

Candidates and present Julie Etchingham on stage in the ITV televised debate gonservative leadership bidCandi
The leadership candidates and presenter Julie Etchingham in the ITV debate. (Jonathan Hordle/ITV/PA)

Malthouse has not publicly declared his support for any of the candidates to succeed Johnson.

A series of votes among Tory MPs this week will narrow the field down to a final two, who will then face a summer of campaigning for the support of party members in a final vote.

The new leader will be announced on September 5 and is expected to become prime minister the following day.

Sunak said that if he is successful his first foreign trip will be to Kyiv to stress the UK’s continued support for Ukraine in its fight against the Russian invasion.

He told The Sun: “I will reinforce our policy of total support for Ukraine that Boris has so ably led.”

But Mordaunt said her campaign has the support of 10 Ukrainian MPs.

Meanwhile, Truss seized on analysis by the Centre for Economics and Business Research which suggested that tax revenues in 2024/25 will be around £60 billion more than the Office for Budget Responsibility estimates, partly due to the impact of high inflation.

A spokeswoman for Truss said: “The CEBR analysis shows that there is money for tax cuts whilst still bringing debt down.”

Meanwhile, Bookmaker Ladbrokes said on Monday that Truss was now the second favourite, ahead of Mordaunt but behind Sunak.

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